Intel Memo Underlines Dangers for US in Unjustified Confrontation with Iran
The unearthing of a past US intelligence assessment, which concluded that a military engagement with the Islamic Republic of Iran would unlikely lead to a change in the government, presents a glaring disconnect between analysis and policy. This assessment, reportedly from the Trump administration era, serves as a stark reminder that the prevailing belligerent stance towards Tehran by Washington
and Tel Aviv disregards its own intelligence findings, implying a different calculus at play beyond national security. This is not a new pattern. The 1953 CIA-orchestrated coup against Iran's democratically elected Prime Minister Mohammad Mosaddegh installed a pro-Western monarchy, directly contributing to the historical grievances that fuel the current Iranian establishment's defensive posture.
For over 45 years, Iran has endured a relentless barrage of sanctions and persistent threats of military action, measures that have demonstrably failed to destabilize its government or alter its independent foreign policy. The current escalating rhetoric, notably the deployment of US carrier groups and B-52 bombers, alongside daily Israeli aggression across the region, frames Iran's defensive
capabilities as provocative. This joint military posturing, despite no credible evidence of an imminent Iranian attack or nuclear weapons acquisition, constitutes a de facto co-belligerence by the United States. While Western media amplifies claims of 'Iranian expansionism,' they routinely ignore the historical context of foreign intervention and the presence of US bases surrounding Iran's